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Exports from the Constitution State edged up 0.4 percent in July

by Evangelos Otto Simos

SPECIAL TO THE REPUBLICAN-AMERICAN on 9/27/2004  

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::  State Exports Connecticut
 
   

Source: infometrica.com

 

Recent indicators from Europe, Asia, Latin America and north of the border confirmed that last summer the growth in the global economy weakened driven by higher oil prices and geopolitical uncertainties.


Connecticut’s exporting companies felt the global soft patch, as their shipments abroad cooled off in the summer. Following two consecutive declines - 2.9 percent in May and 9.1 percent in June, foreign sales of made-in-Connecticut goods stabilized edging up 0.5 percent in July.
 

 

 

   


 

Source: infometrica.com

 
 

The small $2.9 million monthly rise from the previous month brought Connecticut’s sales abroad to $663.9 million in July, adjusted for seasonal variation, according to official statistics.

Compared with last year, the latest reading in exports shows a weakening in foreigners’ demand for Connecticut’s goods. In July of this year, exporters shipped abroad $31.0 million, or 4.5 percent, less goods than in July of 2003.

Manufacturers’ foreign shipments from Connecticut companies -which accounted for 90 percent of all state exports - registered gains in July. Exports of manufactured goods increased 1.3 percent from the previous month to $596.8 million, adjusted for seasonal variation.

However, compared with July of last year, shipments abroad from state factories were $31.6 million or 5 percent lower.

Exports of non-manufactured goods declined 6.4 percent to $67.0 million in July from June. This group of shipments abroad consists of agricultural goods, mining products, and re-exports which are foreign goods that entered the state as imports and are exported in substantially the same condition as when imported.

At the national level, exports of goods, adjusted for seasonal variation, advanced 4.3 percent in July to $64.7 billion from June, mainly reflecting strong gains in shipments of autos and auto parts, civilian aircraft and computers.


What’s the outlook for exports? According to a recent business survey, conducted by the Institute of Supply Management, the nation’s supply executives continue to be optimistic about the prospects of growing export markets.


The Tempe, Arizona, based research institute reported that their national index of new export orders continued to show growth in August for the 21st consecutive month, although at a slower pace than in July.

Of the 76 percent of respondents of the largest U.S. corporations who sell products abroad, 19 percent reported greater incoming orders for exporting goods, 72 percent reported no change and only 9 percent reported smaller orders from July’s levels.


  Evangelos Otto Simos, chief economist at the consulting and research firm Infometrica Inc., is editor for International Affairs in the Journal of Business Forecasting and professor and chair of the Economics department at the University of New Hampshire.

Simos can be reached at: eosimos@infometrica.com

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