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N.H., Maine exports drop; Maine surges ahead

by Evangelos Otto Simos

SPECIAL to Foster's Sunday Citizen on 7/4/2004  

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::  State Exports New Hampshire

Following six months of momentum, foreign sales of made-in-New Hampshire goods plunged by 11.2 percent in April.

The $20.4 million decline from the previous month brought exports, adjusted for seasonal variation, to $162.1 million in April.

April’s decline in shipments abroad was broad-based. Manufacturers’ foreign sales went down sharply in April. Exports of goods made in New Hampshire factories dropped 12.2 percent from the previous month. Manufactured goods accounted for 82 percent of all state exports in April.

Compared with April of last year, shipments abroad from state factories were $3.4 million lower. This is not welcoming news for the Granite State as the industrial mix of foreign sales implies that one in every four local factory jobs is tied to exports.

Exports of non-manufactured goods totaled $29.1 million in April, a 6.1 percent decrease from March. This group of shipments abroad consists of agricultural goods, mining products, and re-exports.

At the national level, exports of goods, adjusted for seasonal variation, declined 2.3 percent in April to $65.8 billion from March, mainly reflecting decreases in capital goods; industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages; and automotive vehicles, parts, and engines.

In the first four months of this year, exports for the nation as a whole grew by 12.5 percent, compared to the same period in 2003. Annual export growth is a measure of the intensity that U.S. companies penetrate foreign markets in the global economy.

New Hampshire ranked 28th among the 50 states for its export growth in the first four months of this year. In the January to April period, New Hampshire’s annual growth rate in foreign sales, adjusted for seasonal variation, was 13.9 percent, slightly better than the national average.

What’s the outlook for exports? According to a recent business survey, conducted by the Institute of Supply Management, the nation’s supply executives continue to be optimistic about the prospects of growing export markets.

The Tempe, Ariz.,-based research institute reported that their export orders index grew in May for the 18th consecutive month.

Maine exports leap

Led by a strong demand for agricultural goods, foreign sales of made-in-Maine goods leaped 8.4 percent in April.

The $14.4 million monthly rise from the previous month brought exports, adjusted for seasonal variation, to $186.3 million in April. Compared with last year, exporters shipped $10.6 million, or 6.0 percent, more goods than in April of 2003.

Export gains were not even among industries. Shipments abroad of manufactured goods dropped 1.1 percent from the previous month. But exports of non-manufactured goods jumped 53.2 percent increase as the result of solid gains in sales of vegetables, eggs, seeds and live trees.

Looking at export growth in 2004, Maine ranked ninth among the 50 states in the first four months of this year.

Compared to the first four months of 2003, Maine’s exports, seasonally adjusted, grew by 27.5 percent, twice the annual growth rate for the nation as a whole.


  Evangelos Otto Simos, chief economist at the consulting and research firm Infometrica Inc., is editor for International Affairs in the Journal of Business Forecasting and professor and chair of the Economics department at the University of New Hampshire.

Simos can be reached at: eosimos@infometrica.com

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