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Reno Gazette Journal

Nevada: Silver State exports hit 14-month low

by Evangelos Otto Simos

SPECIAL TO THE RENO GAZETTE-JOURNAL on October 3, 2005 10:12pm 

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::  State Exports Nevada

 

Evangelos Otto Simos, Chief Economist Infometrica, inc.Following monthly gains of 7.9 percent in July, foreign sales from Nevada's companies plunged 31.8 percent in August.

The $100.1 million monthly drop in foreign shipments from the previous month brought exports to $214.9 million in August, adjusted for seasonal variation, the lowest level in 14 months.

Compared with last year, the latest snapshot in state exports shows a slowdown in foreign demand for goods made in the Silver State. In August of this year, consumers and businesses from abroad bought $15 million, or 6.5 percent, less goods made in Nevada than a year ago.

Five exporting industries contributed 69 percent to all state exports in August. Precious metals -- mainly gold -- was the state's largest export earner, generating $60 million in foreign sales in August, adjusted for seasonal variation. Precious metals accounted for 28 percent of all foreign sales, plummeting by 32 percent from a year ago.

Electrical equipment -- mostly digital integrated circuits -- was the state's second-largest exporting industry creating $29 million of export revenues. Machinery was the third-largest exporting industry with shipments abroad of $21 million in August.

Gaming equipment, a national export leader in the industry, was the fourth-largest export earner, generating $20 million in foreign sales. However, Augusts' exports of gaming goods dropped by 42 percent from a year ago. Copper ore followed in the list of the top-five exporting industries.

At the broad economic level, exports from state manufacturing companies went down sharply in August. Shipments abroad from Nevada plants dropped 39.6 percent from the previous month to $149.4 million, adjusted for seasonal variation.

Manufactured goods accounted for 70 percent of all state exports in August. Compared with last year, August's shipments abroad from state factories were $26.4 million lower. This is important news for the state's job market and overall economic development as the industrial mix of foreign sales implies that one in every three factory jobs is tied to exports of manufactures.

In particular, August's exports of manufactured goods supported 15,800 manufacturing jobs in Nevada. Of great consequence, selling abroad domestically produced goods sparks off significant ripple effects in other industries.

An additional 19,000 state jobs in wholesale and retail trade, transportation, business services and to a lesser degree utilities, mining and agriculture, were generated by exports of manufactured goods in August.

Exports of non-manufactured goods totaled $65.5 million in August, a 3.5 percent decrease from July. This group of shipments abroad consists of agricultural goods, mining products, and re-exports which are foreign merchandise that entered the state as imports and are exported in substantially the same condition as when imported.

At the national level, exports of goods, adjusted for seasonal variation, advanced 2.1 percent in August to a record-high $76.7 billion from July, mainly reflecting increases in capital goods; automotive vehicles, parts, and engines; industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages.

Looking at export growth, a measure of the vigor that state companies break through foreign markets, Nevada ranked second among the 50 states in the first eight months of this year because of record performance in the previous months of the year.

Nevada's annual growth in foreign sales was 41.4 percent compared with the same period a year ago, adjusted for seasonal variation. For the nation as a whole, exports increased 11.2 percent during the same period.

What are the prospects for Nevada exports? According to a recent business survey by the Institute of Supply Management, the nation's supply executives continue to be optimistic about the prospects of growing export markets. The Tempe, Ariz., based research institute reported that their export orders index continued to show growth in new export orders in September for the 47th consecutive month.

More important, September's reading implies that the speed of new orders received from abroad is higher than in August. From the pool of respondents of the largest U.S. corporations who sell their products abroad, 17 percent reported greater export orders, 42 percent reported no change in export orders from August's levels and only 5 percent reported smaller export orders.

 

  Evangelos Otto Simos, chief economist at the consulting and research firm Infometrica Inc., is editor for International Affairs in the Journal of Business Forecasting and professor and chair of the Economics department at the University of New Hampshire.

Simos can be reached at: eosimos@infometrica.com

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